Category: Politics

  • Majorities with Minority Mentalities

    There is a phrase that's often used to describe Islamic activists in Indonesia, that they are a "majority with a minority mentality." (I think the term comes from FW Wertheim, but I'm not sure if he actually coined the phrase.) Maybe "activists" isn't the word I'm looking for, maybe something more like Muslims with a consciously Muslim identity. Whatever. The point is, it's an evocative phrase that makes a lot of sense. Indonesia is overwhelmingly Muslim in addition to being the world's largest Muslim country, and it's a country where piety is taken very seriously by both Muslims and non-Muslims. There is an argument out there that Indonesian Islam "doesn't count"–it's taken from a misreading of Geertz's The Religion of Java combined with a certain Mecca/Medina-centrism in the Arab world–but I largely dismis this. Nevertheless, despite being a dominant majority, the mentality among many Indonesian Muslims has been similar to that of a minority: that their aspirations are being neglected, that they face systematic discrimination, that they have no proper political (or even, really, social) representation, etc. This was particularly the case under the Sukarno and Soeharto, about whom Wertheim was writing. So this leads to the peculiar outcome of a numerically dominant majority couching its political strategies in the language of an oppressed minority. To give but one example from today's political scene, there is lots of concern by Muslim groups that the presence of Ahmadiyah (a tiny sect that most Muslims consider deviationist) threatens Indonesian Islam, so some action must be taken agains it.

    Political scientists are trained to look for patterns and similarities across countries and contexts. And I think that the concept of a majority with a minority mentality actually fits the case of American political Christianity very well. I mean this in the following sense: as a political project, Christianity in the United States relies on the idea that Christians are repressed or under fire in some fashion. This despite the fact that the United States is probably the most pious advanced industrial economy in the world, one in which even hippy-progressive Ithaca has dozens of churches of every denomination. I could go on. But still the rhetoric we hear is that in America Christians and their rights are under assault. I think that this commercial sums it up perfectly.

    Hat Tip: DSP

    Note the framing of the issue of gay marriage here as not giving rights to a group that has been denied them, but rather taking rights from a group that has always enjoyed them.

    The point of this is that I think we see a common strategy here. Numerically dominant groups must couch their demands in terms that make themselves seem small or at risk in order to mobilize their supporters for their cause. I think that this is consistent with what we know about collective action and social movements and the types of conditions that make them most effective. I also wonder if there's a subtle strategy of creating social cleavages (which is what the "us versus them" mentality is) in order to force groups to align on an issue in a way that a minimum winning coalition is formed. Political scientists can call this endogenous cleavage formation. This is a different perspective on how identities are shaped than that of Daniel Posner. He argues that multiple identities exist in any society (religion, race, culture, language, etc.), and the one that is politically salient is the one that allows for a minimum winning coalition to form. I suggest that when one identity is not minimum-winning (as numerically dominant religious majorities are in Indonesia and the United States) then the identity is itself shaped or reconstituted in a way that makes it minimum-winning.

    NB: Nothing here should be read as being against either Islam or Christianity. I am concerned here not with religion as an abstract concept, a way of life, or whatever. Rather, I am interested in understanding how groups who wish to use religion to achieve political power do it, or put otherwise, in the choice of strategies among numerically dominant religious groups trying to advance a platform via political means.

  • Who Like Many Indonesians Uses Only One Name

    SBY has chosen his running mate, the Governor of Bank Indonesia, Boediono. Who, I hasten to add in the style of the American press, "like many Indonesians uses only one name." I guess we can get used to this phrase because we're going to see a lot of it in the future, assuming current predictions of an easy victory for the incumbent hold true.

    SBY-Boediono

    5-16-09.1

    Boediono is a solid pick. SBY is pretty popular no matter whom he
    chooses as a running mate, so he doesn't need to use his VP to shore up any
    type of political support from any particular group. So he's picked a technocrat
    with a great reputation for clean and capable macroeconomic management.
    This is precisely what a large developing country needs facing a global
    economy such as this one. I have good sources that tell me that when
    SBY first contacted Boediono about the job, Boediono's response was
    "well, I'm worried about whether or not we can find someone responsible
    to run Bank Indonesia." SBY ate that right up.

    The other parties are screaming now that Boediono is a "neoliberal" and
    that he "doesn't represent Muslims." These are weak complaints.
    Boediono is a neoliberal, but he's not an ideologue. His supporters say
    that he's careful and attentive to the differences between textbook
    macroeconomics and real world conditions. And to the extent that he is a neoliberal, that just might be a good thing. The complaint that he doesn't represent Muslims is even sillier. At the end of the day, the four Islamic-affiliated parties that support SBY (they hoped that this would give them a VP pick, and accordingly were the ones fussing about no Muslim representation) have all now fallen into line behind SBY-Boediono.

    The other two official tickets are Megawati Sukarnoputri and Prabowo Subianto (PDI-P and Gerindra) and Jusuf Kalla and Wiranto (Golkar and Hanura). I have fewer positive things to say about these two tickets. I don't trust Mega to govern well, Kalla to govern cleanly, or Prabowo or Wiranto to uphold the rule of law.

    Mega and Prabowo, Wiranto and Kalla

    5-16-09.2

     

    Here's another press mention of Thursday's research presentation. I should note that if this author were my student, I would report him for a violation of academic integrity for improper use of quotation marks. The author also seems to miss completely the point of our research, misinterpreting both the findings and our interpretation of them.